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Dossier · CMPS · Dormant

CMPS

Last analysed · · source: theme_discovery

Current thesis

SKIP — dossier-defined invalidation has fired: theme Psychedelic-Mental-Health downgraded ACCELERATING→MATURING, Rule 10 fails, volume collapsed to 0.99x ADV (was 2.83x), StockTwits velocity +367%→+51%. Last news 4/24 FDA voucher cluster; 5 days of dead tape, price drifted $8.78→$8.32, RSI still 69.9. Rules 1/2/5/6 are residual momentum, not fresh catalyst. Stacking a third archetype-7 retail-reflex bet (already hold APLD + SGMT both red) with no options/insider confirmation is the exact trap. Stage 1 prior LOW, no rank — pass.

Invalidation trigger

Re-fire only if theme flips back to ACCELERATING with news z>2.0 AND CMPS prints a 20-EMA pullback-and-reclaim on volume >1.5x ADV, OR a hard catalyst (BTD grant, pivotal trial readout, FDA filing acceptance) hits with options-flow confirmation.

Thesis status

Open commitment scored if the trigger above fires How this is scored →

Current Thesis

_(no analysis yet — pending first synthesis or watchlist research)_

Bull Case

_(pending)_

Bear Case

_(pending)_

Setup & Price Structure

_(pending)_

Catalyst Calendar (next 30 days)

_(pending)_

What Would Change Our Mind

_(pending)_

Correlation Notes

_(pending)_