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Dossier · SMWB · Dormant

SMWB · Similarweb Ltd. · Stock research

Last analysed ·

Current thesis

SMWB — research research dossier: thesis, invalidation trigger, archetype.

Current Thesis

_(no analysis yet — pending first synthesis or watchlist research)_

Bullish and bearish views on Similarweb Ltd.

Bull Case

_(pending)_

Bear Case

_(pending)_

Setup & Price Structure

_(pending)_

Catalyst Calendar (next 30 days)

_(pending)_

What Would Change Our Mind

_(pending)_

Correlation Notes

_(pending)_

Related · shared themes

OKTA

Okta, Inc.

Identity-security re-rating entering a second, sell-side-led leg: a post-print upgrade wave (KeyBanc street-high $175 on 07-10, Scotiabank upgrade to $165 on 07-06) is still building six weeks after the 05-29 beat-and-raise, lifting the top target 17% in a month. Theme ACCELERATING; the risk is extension and hot retail into a digested 52-week-high gap.

MEDIUM

HPE

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AI-server and enterprise-networking pivot is real at the theme level, but HPE's own chart broke: the record +25% Q2 FY26 blowoff (2026-06-02, ATH $64.25) fully round-tripped, the ~$48 pre-print shelf failed (last observed close $43.71 on 6/26), and nothing is dated until the Q3 print in early September. A fresh buy here catches the breakdown, not a base.

LOW

NTAP

NetApp, Inc.

NetApp's first genuine AI re-rating (2026-05-28 Q4 print) is now digesting the ~35% gap to $192.83 has round-tripped to the ~$150 breakout-retest zone by 2026-06-26. FY27 revenue guided only +8%, no company binary until ~late-August Q1. Maturing AI-storage laggard to DELL/HPE; whether it holds the reclaimed 26-year ceiling ($148.63) decides the next leg.

LOW

SNOW

Snowflake Inc.

Fundamental narrative still accelerating Q1 FY27 product rev $1.33B +34% (re-accel from +30%), FY27 guide raised to $5.84B, Cortex Code ramping on the $200M Anthropic deal. But the price leg matured: post-print gap and Summit 26 are spent, no hard catalyst until the ~Aug-26 Q2 print, and Databricks competition is escalating. Clean re-entry is a higher-low at the the published invalidation level–215 gap shelf, not a mid-pullback chase.

LOW