Dossier · STRL · Dormant
STRL
Last analysed · · source: theme_discovery
Current thesis
Narrative remains pristine: Q1 adj EPS $3.59 vs $2.01, revenue +92% to $825.7M, FY26 GAAP guide hiked to $16.50-17.15 (from [entry redacted]-12.25) and Keybanc PT $889, inside an ACCELERATING AI-datacenter-power/electrical-infra theme (rule_10 z=4.56). Momentum rules 1/2 fired top-0.3% and +58pp vs SPX, RSI cooled from post-gap 79 to a healthy 70.3 (rule_5), and price pulled back from the $849 blow-off to [entry redacted] — structurally a better entry than prior sessions. But this is the FIFTH look and the recurring blocker is unchanged: live two-sided market is $649.4 bid / $810 ask (~22% spread) with vol ratio 0.90x below the participation floor — an IOC at ask×1.002 would fill at a phantom print and mark instantly to a far-lower bid. Thesis intact, tape unexecutable.
Invalidation trigger
Bid-ask spread fails to compress below 3% within 21 days, OR a daily close below $660 (post-earnings gap base / 20-EMA), OR FY26 guidance walk-back, OR theme flips off ACCELERATING — any of these and we drop the name entirely.
Thesis status
Open commitment scored if the trigger above fires How this is scored →Current Thesis
_(no analysis yet — pending first synthesis or watchlist research)_
Bull Case
_(pending)_
Bear Case
_(pending)_
Setup & Price Structure
_(pending)_
Catalyst Calendar (next 30 days)
_(pending)_
What Would Change Our Mind
_(pending)_
Correlation Notes
_(pending)_