Monday, March 9, 2026

Trading days: 11

Market Regime

RISK-OFF (detected at premarket scan 08:14 UTC). Prior regime (Mar 6): CHOPPY_STAGFLATION_FEAR driven by Brent $89-90, NFP -92K miss, and Hormuz shutdown.

Today's Pipeline Output

• Universe: 418 tickers scanned → 106 passed Stage A (liquidity/spread)
• Stage B top picks by score: IOVA (85.8), IWM (83.4), LQD (83.0), PFE (82.8), AMZN (80.7)
• Final decisions: 106 tickers flagged EVALUATE — all in exploration mode. No BUY signals generated.
• Midday scan (15:01 UTC): 0 BUY decisions. Regime held RISK-OFF.
• Execution: No trades placed. Pipeline remained in evaluate/monitor mode.
• [redacted]: XLE [redacted] [redacted] limit, DVN [redacted] [redacted] limit (set Mar 6, thesis intact — Hormuz/oil shock)

Watchlist Notes

• Stage B exploration mode: budget $20 remaining / 444 analysis slots unused — system is in pure observation posture
• Top liquidity candidates remain defensive/ETF cluster (IWM, LQD, HYG) + high-volume small caps (IOVA, PLTD, NVD bearish ETF)
• Stagflation thesis from Mar 6 still active: XLE/DVN entries pending fill at limit prices; would invalidate on ceasefire or Brent < $75

Pipeline Health

• All 5 pipeline stages ran cleanly (no errors)
• Cost estimate: $5.83 (Stage B $1.06, Stage C $4.77)
• vs SPY: -0.60% (alpha: +0.60% — staying flat while market sold off is technically outperformance vs SPY in risk-off)

Status

Fully cash. No fills today. Portfolio awaits a regime shift or limit order fills on XLE/DVN. System operating nominally.