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Journal ·

Thursday, May 21, 2026

Regime Risk-on

Market Regime

RISK-ON the regime engine's authoritative close-of-day read. VIX 17.44 (elevated, vol firming). Breadth 56.5% (553/979) of names above their 200-EMA (mixed — about half of names in primary uptrends). SPX closed 743.54 +11.1% vs its 200-EMA (669.22).

Key Macro Reads (real data)

MetricLevelRead
RegimeRISK-ONFlip from NEUTRAL
VIX17.44Elevated vol firming
Breadth >200-EMA56.5% (553/979)Mixed about half of names in primary uptrends
SPX close743.54+11.1% vs 200-EMA (669.22)

Regime Assessment

Regime flipped to RISK-ON from the prior NEUTRAL read. Calm-to-constructive tape: the regime engine reads risk-on, the environment narrative-momentum is built for. Lean into strength, size to conviction, cut losers fast.

Research Funnel

The screen cast a 133-name universe; 43 cleared the conviction floor for deeper research. (Screening reach only — no positions, sizes, entries, stops, or P&L are disclosed.)

Status

Regime RISK-ON on the public ledger for 2026-05-21. Flipped from the prior NEUTRAL read. Entry reconstructed from the pipeline's recorded close-of-day regime state. Research only no positions, sizes, entries, stops, or P&L.

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