Filtered library · Conviction
HIGH conviction · 21 dossiers
Every dossier the model currently rates HIGH conviction — 21 names, with thesis, invalidation trigger, archetype and catalyst.
All dossiersHUT
freshthesis continuation on thesis continuation
RIOT
freshthesis continuation on thesis continuation
TSM
freshthesis continuation on thesis continuation
NVDA
freshQ1 FY27 binary cleared (~5/28); April''s custom-silicon scare never broke the stock and the AI-capex tape is RE-ACCELERATING — TSMC flags multi-year capacity shortage + price hikes (6/04), semi mania resuming, AMD/STM cluster ripping.…
VRT
freshLiquid-cooling sub-narrative re-accelerating inside a now-mature AI-power theme: Goldman blessed it "the next AI trade" (5/24), NVIDIA SmartRun digital-twin deepened the moat (6/1), TD Cowen took street-high PT to $387 (5/20). Pullback…
ASST
Narrative wave is real: TD Cowen ($26, Apr 10) + HC Wainwright ($36, Apr 21) = two sell-side stamps in 11 days on Strive with climbing PTs — the analyst follow-on cluster dossier flagged. Rules 1/2/6/10 confirm: momentum rank 29/3824,…
COHU
freshCOHU re-rated from cyclical handset/auto-test laggard into AI-compute test play: Q1 orders +57% YoY, FY26 guide raised to +20-25%, sell-side upgrading $33→$54+ in the past month. Eclipse xPU handler + Neon HBM inspection are the…
CRDO
AI-interconnect royalty narrative re-accelerating: DustPhotonics $750M buy on 2026-04-13 pivots CRDO from copper AEC to optical/CPO just as 3 sell-side inits/upgrades land in 7 days (Jefferies $175, Needham $220, GS $170). Fresh breakout…
CRWD
freshPost-print momentum continuation: CRWD beat-and-raised Q1 (2026-06-03; EPS $1.10 vs $1.07, rev $1.386B vs $1.363B), RAISED FY27 guide, and dropped a 4-for-1 split (effective 2026-07-02). Four analyst PT raises clustered the next day…
IESC
freshData-center electrical-infrastructure "shovels" play; Q2 FY26 (rpt 2026-05-01) backlog +62% to record $3.9B, Communications +35% on AI buildout. Narrative accelerating fundamentally, but stock +180% YoY near $737 ATH with no catalyst until…
LQDA
freshYUTREPIA launch ramp accelerating — Q1''26 net sales $129.9M (+44% QoQ), profitable, 23% inhaled-prostacyclin share, mgmt line-of-sight to $1B in 2027. Binary overhang: UTHR ''327 patent trial begins 2026-06-23. Legal track record favors…
MCHP
freshBeaten-down broad-line semi re-rating on a NEW AI-data-center leg: DCS unit +62.9% YoY (Mar-26 qtr), guided $302.7M→~$500M CY2026 (+65%); 06-01/02 guidance popped it +8%. ACCELERATING + cluster-confirmed (NXP/ON ETF launch), but DCS is…
MDB
freshAtlas re-accelerated to +29.4% YoY (record $117M sequential add) at the 2026-05-28 Q1 print, refuting the 2025 'consumption maturing' bear case; beat-and-raise triggered 15+ PT hikes and an +18.5% gap. AI-database narrative ACCELERATING…
MRVL
Google-Marvell TPU/AI-chip partnership talks (2026-04-20) just added a third hyperscaler ASIC customer on top of AWS Trainium + MSFT MAIA — narrative velocity stepped up overnight, and Q1 FY27 print ~2026-05-28 is the binary that either…
MTSI
freshAI optical-interconnect picks-and-shovels narrative accelerating: MACOM raised FY26 data-center growth from 35-40% to >60% on the Q2 call (reported ~late Apr) and guided Q3 rev +~15% QoQ to $331-339M. Strength is the setup — but it''s…
NXT
freshAI-data-center-power re-rating is turning NXT from solar-tracker picks-&-shovels into a power-infra platform: 2026-05-28 FY2027 guide raise (rev $4.0-4.4B) + $365M Prevalon storage buy + an 8-desk PT-raise cluster ($149-$182) =…
ON
freshDead EV-SiC name re-rating as an AI-datacenter-power play: Q1 (5/4) AI data-center revenue +30% QoQ, NVIDIA 800V/MGX role expanded 5/29, Mizuho PT→$150 (5/28). Theme ACCELERATING, cluster-confirmed (Navitas +346% YTD); price below PTs with…
ONTO
HBM/advanced-packaging metrology narrative accelerating: 2026-04-16 dual pre-announce (Q1 raised to $292M, Q2 guide $320-330M vs $303M Street) triggered 6 sell-side upgrades in 14d (highest PT $350). Q1 print ~2026-05-07 is the binary —…
RVMD
KRAS-franchise leadership accelerating after 2026-04-13 daraxonrasib Phase 3 doubled survival vs chemo in pancreatic cancer; FDA submission pending, $2B raised at $142 funds commercial launch, zoldonrasib G12D data (52% ORR, 93% DCR) adds…
TTMI
freshAI+defense PCB picks-and-shovels accelerating: Q1 (4/29) beat-and-raise, rev +30%, book-to-bill 1.41, backlog $1.6B; sell-side cluster-upgraded 5/28 (PTs $205-215) with price ~$189.60 still below every target. Strength IS the setup — no…
WGMI
freshBitcoin-miner-to-AI-datacenter re-rating is in full mania: CIFR (Google-backed $3B Fluidstack), IREN (Microsoft $9.7B + Dell $1.6B Blackwell), WULF ($12.8B contracted) all signing marquee HPC leases. WGMI +255% 1yr, ripping fresh 52-wk…