Skip to content

Filtered library · Conviction

HIGH conviction · 21 dossiers

Every dossier the model currently rates HIGH conviction — 21 names, with thesis, invalidation trigger, archetype and catalyst.

All dossiers

HUT

fresh
HIGH

thesis continuation on thesis continuation

a0Uncategorised
read ·

RIOT

fresh
HIGH

thesis continuation on thesis continuation

a0Uncategorised
read ·

TSM

fresh
HIGH

thesis continuation on thesis continuation

a0Uncategorised
read ·

NVDA

fresh
HIGH

Q1 FY27 binary cleared (~5/28); April''s custom-silicon scare never broke the stock and the AI-capex tape is RE-ACCELERATING — TSMC flags multi-year capacity shortage + price hikes (6/04), semi mania resuming, AMD/STM cluster ripping.…

a2Cyclical recovery
read ·

VRT

fresh
HIGH

Liquid-cooling sub-narrative re-accelerating inside a now-mature AI-power theme: Goldman blessed it "the next AI trade" (5/24), NVIDIA SmartRun digital-twin deepened the moat (6/1), TD Cowen took street-high PT to $387 (5/20). Pullback…

a2Cyclical recovery
read ·

ASST

HIGH

Narrative wave is real: TD Cowen ($26, Apr 10) + HC Wainwright ($36, Apr 21) = two sell-side stamps in 11 days on Strive with climbing PTs — the analyst follow-on cluster dossier flagged. Rules 1/2/6/10 confirm: momentum rank 29/3824,…

a6Retail squeeze crypto-financials-exchange
catalyst ·

COHU

fresh
HIGH

COHU re-rated from cyclical handset/auto-test laggard into AI-compute test play: Q1 orders +57% YoY, FY26 guide raised to +20-25%, sell-side upgrading $33→$54+ in the past month. Eclipse xPU handler + Neon HBM inspection are the…

a2Cyclical recovery
read ·

CRDO

HIGH

AI-interconnect royalty narrative re-accelerating: DustPhotonics $750M buy on 2026-04-13 pivots CRDO from copper AEC to optical/CPO just as 3 sell-side inits/upgrades land in 7 days (Jefferies $175, Needham $220, GS $170). Fresh breakout…

a2Cyclical recovery networking-optical
catalyst ·

CRWD

fresh
HIGH

Post-print momentum continuation: CRWD beat-and-raised Q1 (2026-06-03; EPS $1.10 vs $1.07, rev $1.386B vs $1.363B), RAISED FY27 guide, and dropped a 4-for-1 split (effective 2026-07-02). Four analyst PT raises clustered the next day…

a1Compounder
catalyst ·

IESC

fresh
HIGH

Data-center electrical-infrastructure "shovels" play; Q2 FY26 (rpt 2026-05-01) backlog +62% to record $3.9B, Communications +35% on AI buildout. Narrative accelerating fundamentally, but stock +180% YoY near $737 ATH with no catalyst until…

a2Cyclical recovery
catalyst ·

LQDA

fresh
HIGH

YUTREPIA launch ramp accelerating — Q1''26 net sales $129.9M (+44% QoQ), profitable, 23% inhaled-prostacyclin share, mgmt line-of-sight to $1B in 2027. Binary overhang: UTHR ''327 patent trial begins 2026-06-23. Legal track record favors…

a5Earnings inflection
catalyst ·

MCHP

fresh
HIGH

Beaten-down broad-line semi re-rating on a NEW AI-data-center leg: DCS unit +62.9% YoY (Mar-26 qtr), guided $302.7M→~$500M CY2026 (+65%); 06-01/02 guidance popped it +8%. ACCELERATING + cluster-confirmed (NXP/ON ETF launch), but DCS is…

a4Special situation
read ·

MDB

fresh
HIGH

Atlas re-accelerated to +29.4% YoY (record $117M sequential add) at the 2026-05-28 Q1 print, refuting the 2025 'consumption maturing' bear case; beat-and-raise triggered 15+ PT hikes and an +18.5% gap. AI-database narrative ACCELERATING…

a2Cyclical recovery
read ·

MRVL

HIGH

Google-Marvell TPU/AI-chip partnership talks (2026-04-20) just added a third hyperscaler ASIC customer on top of AWS Trainium + MSFT MAIA — narrative velocity stepped up overnight, and Q1 FY27 print ~2026-05-28 is the binary that either…

a2Cyclical recovery ai-chip-infra-memory
catalyst ·

MTSI

fresh
HIGH

AI optical-interconnect picks-and-shovels narrative accelerating: MACOM raised FY26 data-center growth from 35-40% to >60% on the Q2 call (reported ~late Apr) and guided Q3 rev +~15% QoQ to $331-339M. Strength is the setup — but it''s…

a2Cyclical recovery
read ·

NXT

fresh
HIGH

AI-data-center-power re-rating is turning NXT from solar-tracker picks-&-shovels into a power-infra platform: 2026-05-28 FY2027 guide raise (rev $4.0-4.4B) + $365M Prevalon storage buy + an 8-desk PT-raise cluster ($149-$182) =…

a3Theme leader
read ·

ON

fresh
HIGH

Dead EV-SiC name re-rating as an AI-datacenter-power play: Q1 (5/4) AI data-center revenue +30% QoQ, NVIDIA 800V/MGX role expanded 5/29, Mizuho PT→$150 (5/28). Theme ACCELERATING, cluster-confirmed (Navitas +346% YTD); price below PTs with…

a3Theme leader
read ·

ONTO

HIGH

HBM/advanced-packaging metrology narrative accelerating: 2026-04-16 dual pre-announce (Q1 raised to $292M, Q2 guide $320-330M vs $303M Street) triggered 6 sell-side upgrades in 14d (highest PT $350). Q1 print ~2026-05-07 is the binary —…

a2Cyclical recovery semicap-equipment
catalyst ·

RVMD

HIGH

KRAS-franchise leadership accelerating after 2026-04-13 daraxonrasib Phase 3 doubled survival vs chemo in pancreatic cancer; FDA submission pending, $2B raised at $142 funds commercial launch, zoldonrasib G12D data (52% ORR, 93% DCR) adds…

a1Compounder biotech-precision-therapeutics
catalyst ·

TTMI

fresh
HIGH

AI+defense PCB picks-and-shovels accelerating: Q1 (4/29) beat-and-raise, rev +30%, book-to-bill 1.41, backlog $1.6B; sell-side cluster-upgraded 5/28 (PTs $205-215) with price ~$189.60 still below every target. Strength IS the setup — no…

a2Cyclical recovery
read ·

WGMI

fresh
HIGH

Bitcoin-miner-to-AI-datacenter re-rating is in full mania: CIFR (Google-backed $3B Fluidstack), IREN (Microsoft $9.7B + Dell $1.6B Blackwell), WULF ($12.8B contracted) all signing marquee HPC leases. WGMI +255% 1yr, ripping fresh 52-wk…

a3Theme leader
read ·