Filtered library · Archetype
a7 Defensive · 25 dossiers
Dossiers classified as a7 Defensive — 25 names, each with its thesis, invalidation trigger and catalyst calendar.
All dossiersPL
fresh[position redacted] [position redacted] held into TODAY's (6/4) binary Q1 FY27 print; engine already [trade redacted] pre-print. Space-cluster theme now MATURING→edge-of-SATURATED (UFO ETF $1B AUM, NASA-ETF mania) with the ~6/12 SpaceX…
CRCL
freshAwaited tier-1 catalyst printed — Mastercard added USDC settlement 2026-06-03 — overriding the Compass Point $77 ceiling; rails narrative re-accelerating with HC Wainwright Buy $150 (5/18) + Nium 190-country deal (5/27). Offset: Tiger…
TSLA
freshOptimus/robotics leg is actively breaking, not accelerating — TSLA shed $75B in a session on 2026-06-02 after Sam Altman targeted Optimus and NVIDIA armed Chinese humanoid rivals with an open robotics platform. Musk-complex capital is…
GLXY
freshCrypto-financials leg broke — [trade redacted] chasing the BTC>$80k move above Cantor's $30 PT. Now a 265.1M-share offering/registration (5/21), a $100M BitGo claim (5/21), and Novogratz himself warning of a market top (5/26) = structural…
MP
freshRare-earth supply-security story is MATURING, not accelerating: structural floor intact (DoD price floor, Apple offtake, Texas magnet capex) but the momentum edge is spent — sell-side is now INITIATING (Goldman + Needham $81, both…
PURR
freshHyperliquid proxy: fresh institutional narrative leg (ICE CEO "bigger than Nasdaq" 5/29, Hayes $100k bet 6/2) but [trade redacted] chasing the retail leg. Crypto rolled over (BTC <$68k) and a 35M-share secondary overhangs. WATCH not a buy…
WEST
freshMisclassified "AI-momentum" name — actually a money-losing B2B coffee roaster that [trade redacted] chasing RSI ~77 on sub-1x volume. No accelerating narrative now; only edge is a slow insider cluster + Benchmark $10 PT. Dead tape until Q2…
WTI
freshIran-war crude premium that drove our May spike has fully unwound on the truce — oil-geo theme DEAD with no replacement catalyst. WTI back to dead-tape sub-$5 Gulf E&P with no momentum leg. SKIP / probe-only until a fresh dated catalyst…
GFS
[Stage 1 PRIORITIZE] Cleanest fresh ai-chip expression: Q1 beat + first dividend + 6 PT raises (Cantor $80/Susquehanna $100), RSI reset to 67, complements TSM (mature-node/photonics) rather than duplicating it.
PRM
freshWildfire-season + defense pivot accelerating: Q1 revenue +74% to $125M, fresh $500M DLA AFFF contract and renewed CAL FIRE deal. Now consolidating ~13% off the $34.89 high, below the 50-day, into peak fire season (Jun–Sep). MATURING…
AVL
Unidentified small-cap in commodity-materials basket; likely Avalon Advanced Materials (TSX:AVL) rare-earth/lithium play, but ticker-specific data (price, ADV, filings, catalysts) still absent as of 2026-04-20. DORMANT until first verified…
AVR
freshStructural-heart disruptor de-risking on PARADIGM pivotal milestones (first US patients 5/5, CMS coverage 4/28, Medtronic stake, Barclays PT $18). But +448% YoY into a $250M TD Cowen ATM at ~$9 = live dilution ceiling, stock pinned on the…
CAL
Caleres is a tired low-multiple footwear name with no accelerating narrative leg right now — only a speculative "consumer reopening" thread and a binary Q1 print (~late May). Probe-only name unless the print re-rates the brand portfolio…
CMPS
SKIP — dossier-defined invalidation has fired: theme Psychedelic-Mental-Health downgraded ACCELERATING→MATURING, Rule 10 fails, volume collapsed to 0.99x ADV (was 2.83x), StockTwits velocity +367%→+51%. Last news 4/24 FDA voucher cluster;…
EVER
freshAuto-insurance ad-spend recovery supercycle (drove +83% rev Q1'25) has MATURED — Q1'26 rev +15% to $190.9M, three-quarter sequential plateau ~$190M. Stock round-tripped $30→$16.63, bounced to ~$19.40, above 50-DMA but stuck under 200-DMA…
GDRZF
Scheme-of-arrangement casualty. Gold Fields A$3.40 offer for ASX:GOR recommended 2025-05-05, targeted H2 2025 close. Absence of any 2026 news/filings/price signals the ticker is dead. Untradeable placeholder until ASX:GOR listing status is…
LABU
3x leveraged biotech ETF (tracks XBI basket). Sector has been DORMANT for 3 years; setup requires XBI to break 50-day high on volume + dovish Fed + M&A acceleration off the patent-cliff. Without that ignition, LABU just bleeds from…
LIFE
freshAI-insurtech IPO (Ethos) — Q1 rev +104% to $193M + raised FY guide drove the pop, but Bear Cave's 2026-05-21 report alleging aggressive upfront commission accounting put the narrative on trial. Battleground, not a clean trend; wait for…
MOD
[Stage 1 DEFER] Strong 6-rule industrial-power-AI name (RSI 60, top momentum) but Q4 FY26 prints TODAY 2026-05-26 after close — deep in earnings blackout, binary risk forbids fresh entry.
MRAM
[Stage 1 WATCH] small-cap-ai ACCEL but mid-parabolic digestion of a +131%/30d runner, rule 3 broken, no dossier; W20/W21 postmortems explicitly flagged this archetype as a chase trap.
RPI
Ticker "RPI" does not resolve to a live US-listed equity as of 2026-04-20 — legacy Roper Industries symbol (now ROP) and no viable successor. Zero price, news, filings. Not tradable; archive unless Christoph reconfirms the intended name.
SGMT
[Stage 1 PRIORITIZE] [trade redacted], biotech-precision ACCELERATING with rules 1/2/4/6/10 firing but RSI 74.5 extended — empty dossier and ANAB outpacing means Stage 2 must decide hold vs trim vs rotation.
SIVEF
No tradeable narrative. SIVEF remains an unresolved F-suffix OTC ticker from 2026-04-18 Serenity seed — issuer still not mapped to a US-tradable equity after one week. Research-blocked; do not size.
SKM
Korea-ceasefire re-rating + AI-telco (Anthropic-backed "A." assistant) narrative in play, but SKM is a 0.4-beta dividend telecom — wrong vehicle for narrative-momentum book. EWY is the cleaner expression. Watchlist only; Q1 print…
VIAV
[Stage 1 WATCH] T&M laggard sleeve already +25% post-Q3 beat with 4 PT raises; archive shows 5+ consecutive DEFER sessions, GLW/COHR carry the optical cluster cleanly. Consistency is edge.